Guessing is now over! Now we wait to see when the snow comes.
It is that time of year again when we give you the chance to guess the first snow day of the 2015-16 winter season. If you correctly guess the day you will get a free:
MMR Hoodie
1/2 Pound of Ranch Coffee
Tasting Box for Cao Artisan Chocolate
All guesses must be in by October 10th, and they must be posted as comments to this page. If there are multiple correct guesses, one will be randomly selected from that group.
The official snow will be determined by Ranch staff. It must amount to a clearly noticeable amount of snow, but accumulation is not needed to count. If we have a very early snow, you must have made a guess 24 hours before the first snow.
A special note from a meteorological friend Bob:
Ok, so Donnie asked me for a short paragraph on this winter’s outlook. He has this crazy idea that since I went to college for meteorology that somehow I have some insight into forecasting. So, let me first dispel that notion. In college, I participated in the national forecasting contest and fell below the computer’s forecast scores. So, maybe you want to just listen to the computer? (Hey, even chess masters have been beaten by computers. They’re pretty smart.) Let’s talk about what I do know (since telling you what I don’t know would take too long). This is a strong El Nino year. “So, what” you say, “what do Pacific ocean temperatures have to do with the weather in Spring Creek, PA?” Well, God set up a linkage between the atmosphere and ocean. Warmer temperatures off the west coast of South America sets up a different pattern for the jet stream which sets up different weather. Ok, was that too geeky? Let me get back to basics. In strong El Nino years, the Great Lakes area typically has a milder winter, warmer lakes, and a later start to Winter. Though you may have light snow in October, November, and December, winter doesn’t really get cranking until January in El Nino years. And, given that the lakes stayed warmer, when the Lake Effect gets going (arctic air moves over warm water), you can still get some good snow totals in January, February, and March. Confusing enough? Wow, I’m not sure I know when the first measurable snow will be based on all that. I can tell you that the earliest measurable snow that ever happened was on October 1st, 2003. Other than that, I’d vote for later than last year because of the late start to winter expected. But, then again, what do I care, I live in sunny Southern Arizona. Ha! Ready to guess now? Go!!!!
Post your guess below!
November 16th
October 30th
November 3
Oct. 31
November 11th
Oct. 30th
Oct 30
November 9th. Although I wish it would only snow on Christmas eve and Christmas day and be done
November 17
November 9th
November 20
November 5th
October 17th
First day it snows…. October 25
Slushy rain / snow
NOVEMBER 7
November 20th
My guess is NOVEMBER 18th
wishful thinking lol….
November 3
October 30th
November 16
November 7th
November 25th, my birthday!!
November 1st
November 2 2015
October 30th
October 31!!!!
November 13
October 27th @ 5:00 pm.
November 14th!
November 15
I’m guessing NOVEMBER 27TH!!! ❄⛄❄⛄
First snow november 3
November 3
I think it will be on December 1st. 🙂
November 2nd
Novemebr 8
November 9th!
November 20
November 20
My guess is: October 24th
snow day guess….Oct 31
October 29th!
❄️ November 26th ❄️
November 13 th⛄️⛄️❄️❄️
November 1st.
November 4th with wet snow and maybe some sleet.
November 26th Thanksgiving day ?
Nov. 6
November 2
First day of real accumulation will be November 27, 2015.
November 13
November 3rd!
NOVEMBER 20TH
November 6
November 5
November 2nd
I think it will be October 27
0ctober31 first snow date
Nov. 11
Nov 8
The first snow for MMR may by the grace of God be on October 17th
Nov 3rd, 2015!!
Sunday, November 1st
October 24th
November 6th
November 10
November 21
november 16th
102 inches
Nov.2
November 16th
November 15th
November 3rd.
October 31st
November 18th
November 9.
I’m going to say November 25th. Just in time for Thanksgiving.
October 31, 2015
October 30
November 9
November 16!
November 7th
November 28th 2015
Would say november 23
November 15th
November 7, 2015
1:30 AM
Octobber 31 @ 6:30 pm
October 31st…
November 9
November2
November 5, in the evening 🙂
November 11
October 22, 2015
October 26
Oct 29
October 23!! 🙂
October 18
October 25th
November 8
October 28 3:45a.m.
November 20th
October 26, 2015 at 6PM
October 20, 2015 at 3am
November 2,2015
November 14th
Hope we are all wrong but I pick November 14th.
November 1, 2015
November 25, 2015
November 19, 2015
December 5, 2015
oct 27th
november 5
November 7th
October 28
November 6
November 17th
November 18
October 31st
November 19th
November 4, 2015
Oct 31
Oct 30.
Oct 30!
My guess is nov. 2. 🙂 let’s hope it is no sooner than that date for everyone’s sake!
October 27
November 10th
November 3rd @10:18 p.m.
November 2, 2015
November 15th
November 3rd @ 10:15 p.m.
Oct 30
November 15
October 29
Your first day of snow will be October 29, 2015.
First Snow guess= November 01st
October 22